analysis

Trump approves Turkish incursion into northern Syria

US President Donald Trump looks set to allow a Turkish incursion into northeast Syria after announcing that US troops will pull back from the border

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ISIS claims ISWAP killed 14 Nigerian soldiers and captured 2 in Gubio ambush

ISIS claimed ISWAP affiliate killed a dozen Nigerian Army soldiers and abducted two other when they ambushed a military convoy in Borno

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Nigeria: Islamic State claims ‘tens’ of military casualties in 2 Borno attacks

An ISWAP ambush near Gudumbali in the Lake Chad area of Borno state killed "several" Nigerian soldiers, although an AFP source spoke of "huge" casualties

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In Congress, a long battle over Trump’s Iran and Saudi policies looms

A growing bipartisan alliance of progressive Democrats and libertarian-leaning conservatives is reasserting Congress's role in war

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Islamic State arrival in Mozambique further complicates Cabo Delgado violence

Islamic State claimed its first presence in Mozambique, attributing a June clash with the army near Mocimboa da Praia to its Central Africa Province affiliate

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US threatens EU with trade war over weapons

The US has all but threatened the EU with a trade war over plans to boost cooperation between member states on military spending

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ISIS announces new India and Pakistan provinces, casually breaking up Khorasan

Islamic State casually announced the creation of Pakistan and al-Hind provinces while claiming attacks in both countries, possibly restructuring Khorasan

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US and Iran sound the retreat after beating drums of war

US and Iranian leadership displayed rare agreement in comments as officials sought to publicly downplay the possibility of military conflict

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ISIS brands global attacks as ‘Vengeance for Sham’

Robert Postings looks at the first few days of Islamic State’s ‘Vengeance for Sham’ global campaign

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Climate change: an increasingly dangerous recruiting sergeant for insurgent groups

Extreme weather conditions from climate change are enabling insurgents to more-easily recruit and exert control on populations

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